Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.026574 0.028839 0.031206 0.033868 0.036780 0.039869 0.043399
2025-08-17 0.022582 0.025801 0.029358 0.033588 0.038491 0.044007 0.050697
2025-08-24 0.019813 0.023509 0.027765 0.033042 0.039430 0.046941 0.056478
2025-08-31 0.017902 0.021899 0.026656 0.032759 0.040416 0.049752 0.062065
2025-09-07 0.016409 0.020601 0.025733 0.032511 0.041283 0.052320 0.067368
2025-09-14 0.015218 0.019548 0.024983 0.032353 0.042154 0.054841 0.072665
2025-09-21 0.014114 0.018506 0.024144 0.031967 0.042635 0.056802 0.077258
2025-09-28 0.013344 0.017834 0.023718 0.032065 0.043715 0.059567 0.083056
2025-10-05 0.012566 0.017090 0.023133 0.031880 0.044356 0.061717 0.088070
2025-10-12 0.011976 0.016559 0.022794 0.031995 0.045389 0.064436 0.094028
2025-10-19 0.011448 0.016078 0.022486 0.032114 0.046410 0.067160 0.100121
2025-10-26 0.010930 0.015577 0.022114 0.032105 0.047218 0.069586 0.105879
2025-11-02 0.010526 0.015240 0.021988 0.032495 0.048711 0.073227 0.113938
2025-11-09 0.009919 0.014574 0.021346 0.032076 0.048952 0.074983 0.119164
2025-11-16 0.009331 0.013903 0.020655 0.031533 0.048952 0.076336 0.123801
2025-11-23 0.008862 0.013384 0.020163 0.031260 0.049347 0.078320 0.129587
2025-11-30 0.008440 0.012912 0.019715 0.031025 0.049774 0.080358 0.135573
2025-12-07 0.008070 0.012502 0.019337 0.030874 0.050317 0.082602 0.142044
2025-12-14 0.007679 0.012037 0.018848 0.030508 0.050469 0.084175 0.147408
2025-12-21 0.007414 0.011761 0.018645 0.030600 0.051396 0.087119 0.155431
2025-12-28 0.007112 0.011408 0.018297 0.030425 0.051840 0.089231 0.162044
2026-01-04 0.006885 0.011168 0.018122 0.030533 0.052783 0.092271 0.170595
2026-01-11 0.006672 0.010942 0.017958 0.030647 0.053734 0.095369 0.179459